Specifically, I am speaking of their “2016 Republican Presidential Nomination” graph, where results of all the national polls concerning the Republican Presidential contest are tabulated and turned into a running average, which is graphed. As I write this, this page has not been updated since Nov 19, almost a week ago. Here is a screencap, I took today (Nov 25):
And yet, polls on the Republican race have emerged since that time. For instance, Reuters runs a 5-day rolling poll on this race. Each day the average of the preceding 5 days are released.
Perhaps there is a reason for the exclusion of the Reuters poll, but the methodology of the RCP poll charts seems to be to take every poll – even if the comparison is no longer strictly apples-to-apples (for example, in the past they have averaged together polls of voters, registered voters, and likely voters) – and average them out. The method is not perfect, but the method is transparently objective. So why exclude the Reuter’s poll?
One possibility is that since the 19th, the political fortunes of Donald Trump have taken off and those of Ben Carson and Marco Rubio have fallen. For instance, on Nov 24, they have Trump at 38%, Cruz now tied with Carson at 12%, and Rubio at 8%. Could this be the reason?
This worries me because up until now, I have judged the Real Clear Politics to be one of the most transparently objective news aggregators around. Their policy seems to be to link to the conservative articles that conservatives feel best represent their views, and liberal articles that liberals feel best represent their views. Often they put articles that favour opposite conclusions against each other.
If it is true that they are withholding news simply because they don’t like the result then it would be profoundly disappointing. I hope that isn’t the case. We need more aggressive neutrality and less MSM whitewashing.