The recent decision by the US government to delay a decision on the Keystone XL pipeline for yet another year only ratifies what has already become obvious: President Obama is not going to OK the pipeline, not now, not ever. Keystone XL makes too much sense (for both countries) for him to come right out and say this, but that is his intent. Partly it is to appease the environmentalist left but partly because of his own convictions: he is an extreme faculty-lounge leftist at heart. By now, this should be obvious.
Needless to say, Prime Minister Harper comes from an entirely different ideological direction than Obama, but at least until now, he has chosen the diplomatic approach when dealing with Obama. The trouble is, at least as far as Keystone is concerned, it is not working.
What should he do now?
As I have said before, he needs to shift gears, radically. He needs to attack Obama publically and loudly. He needs to play the anti-American card. As I have said before, anti-Americanism has domestic advantages, it will make it hard for the Liberals to portray Conservatives as US lackeys, a familiar trope of the Liberal Party in election campaigns.
And, I think it will bring real pressure to bear on Obama. Right now he is a profoundly unpopular lame duck. He has lost control of one house of congress and is about to lose the other in November. One charge against him already is that his foreign policy has been feckless and foolish. With Harper’s attacks, his opponents will be able to press this point home even further: Obama even alienated Canada! Our closest ally! How could he screw things up even more?
It sounds dangerous to antagonize the US but it isn’t. In the twilight of the Jean Chretien era, Chretien openly mocked and insulted George W Bush. He didn’t suffer for it at the polls in Canada, and Canada’s relationship with the US wasn’t much disturbed. Bush’s domestic opponents were pleased and the Bush Administration was patient and tolerant. And even if Obama does not prove to be as understanding as Bush, what is he going to do about it? With his Keystone decision effectively made, he has already used his one effective thumb screw.
What are you waiting for Stephen? You have nothing to lose but your environmental restrictions.
You used to make sense, not you are just being silly. First you want to arm the Tartars to fight a civil war in Crimea, then you find some kind of conspiracy theory about Lenin's birthday, now you want Canada to play hardball with the U.S.
Who are you anyway and what have you done with the real Cincinnatus
Posted by: Copinacus | April 23, 2014 at 08:49 PM
Conspiracy theory?
Look up Lenin's birthday on Wikipedia and the first Earth Day. It's just a fact.
You can't make this stuff up.
Posted by: WiseGuy | April 24, 2014 at 01:07 AM
OK, I certainly don't agree with the comments Copinacus made, but I do disagree with you on this subject.
First, I don't believe that the final decision on Keystone is made. After the next midterm election Obama will have ZERO responsibilities to the Dems. His electoral career will be over. He could easily trade away the Keystone thing for other advantages. I grant that this is unlikely, but it is possible. Regardless, we need to look long term. We are better off sending our oil south than west; allies to the south will continue to buy, the countries on the Pacific rim may not.
Next, bringing pressure on Obama has brought zero results in the political arena. He has a nasty habit of doubling down on criticism and - like him or not - turning it to his advantage. The pressure brought against Bush worked because the media hated Bush and supported ANY criticisms. The opposite is true in this case - the US media (outside of Fox) have been 'carrying water' for Obama since 2008. Making loud criticisms on an environmental issue where the rhetoric is charged could backfire very easily. And clearly there are some deep pockets in the US opposing Keystone.
You are right that Harper could gain domestically, but I have always deplored using foreign policy to support local popularity. I won't change my stripes because it helps Conservatives.
My opinion (for what it is worth) would be to wait things out. This pipeline would be in use for 50+ years; a delay of another 3 (waiting for a new president) won't matter that much.
Posted by: Auto Guy | April 24, 2014 at 09:07 AM
"It sounds dangerous to antagonize the US but it isn't."
Really?
What about FUBARack Obama's 'kill list' and what about the precedent all ready being set for violating Canada's air space with drones?
You know how the lefty/liberal/progressive socialists love to attack the person, not the message, when the person speaks truth to their absolute corrupt power...
Look up...and be afraid!
Posted by: Dan Mancuso | April 24, 2014 at 02:38 PM
Actually I totally agree with Cincinnatus. In fact, Harper should inform Canadians that he no longer believes Obama (remember, Obama lies!) and he is going to exercise every power available to Ottawa to expand capacity in Canada's east-west pipeline system. If that means fighting Indians and western Premiers to create a British Columbia terminus, so be it!
Posted by: TedZ | April 25, 2014 at 02:02 AM
There's a certain treaty that if repealed would embarrass Obama and make Canada stronger at the same time.
Ukraine upheld a similar treaty and it looks like its going to cost them more than half their country.
If we left The non-proliferation agreement it would cut right at the heart Obama's grand visions. It would underline our contempt and mistrust with the White House's assurances and demonstrate a subtle yet unmistakable retaliation for the absurd Keystone policy.
We wouldn't even have to build a single nuke.
As a bonus it would actually make Canada stronger and independent which is the right thing to do in the end.
Posted by: Alex | April 25, 2014 at 03:16 AM
Harper has already embarrassed obama and kerry (our no vote on UN gun control).
Keystone is a no-brainer for both economies, yet obama is playing politics with it. If he thinks this will divert attention from obamacare in the Nov 14 elections, he is sorely misled (again).
The only thing that angers me about these pipelines is that the refineries are not in Canada. We need the jobs.
PS, nice site. I found via American Thinker.
Posted by: JettieG | April 26, 2014 at 02:05 PM
JettieG - Good point about the refineries. come to think of it, Harper could score a major coup if he could get a major refinery built here, say in Saskatchewan (an Alberta refinery might look too self serving).
Would really help the Tories there too.
Posted by: WiseGuy | April 27, 2014 at 12:50 AM
Refineries are almost impossible to build in Canada with our environmental regs. Well, you could build one but it isn't economically viable.
I do like the idea of leaving the non-proliferation agreement. That would send a message...
Posted by: Auto Guy | April 28, 2014 at 11:50 AM
Your raise a good point Auto Guy, I mean specifically about the refineries. We need to do something about the environmental regs so that building them becomes viable again. Not having refineries in Canada doesn't do any good for the environment. They are just relocated to third world countries where anything goes. We lose jobs and tax revenue and the environment is worse off.
Posted by: Cincinnatus | April 28, 2014 at 07:38 PM