Here’s
what a man from Idaho has discovered in his research:
“It is certainly true
that for Canada as a whole, murder rates are still considerably lower than for
the United States as a whole. For 2011,
Canada had 1.73 homicides per 100,000 people; the United States had 4.8
murders and non-negligent homicides per 100,000 people. What I find
fascinating, however, is to look at murder rates for Canadian provinces and
compare them to their immediate American state neighbors.”
“For example, I live in
Idaho. In 2011, our
murder rate was 2.3 per 100,000 people. We have almost no gun-control
laws here. … We are subject to the federal background check on firearms,
but otherwise there are no restrictions. Do you want a machine gun? And yes, I
mean a real machine gun, not a semiautomatic AR-15. There is the
federal paperwork required, but the state imposes no licensing of its own.”
“Surely with such lax gun-control laws,
our murder rate must be much higher than our Canadian counterparts’ rate. But
this is not the case: I was surprised to find that not only Nunavut (21.01) and
the Northwest Territories (6.87) in Canada had much higher murder rates than
Idaho, but even Nova Scotia (2.33), Manitoba (4.24), Saskatchewan (3.59), and
Alberta (2.88) had higher murder rates. (Okay, Nova Scotia is just a
teensy-weensy bit higher than Idaho for 2011.)
What about Minnesota? It had 1.4
murders per 100,000 in 2011, lower than not only all those prairie provinces,
but even lower than Canada as a whole. Montana had 2.8 murders per
100,000, still better than for Canadian provinces and one Canadian
territory. When you get to North Dakota, another one of these American
states with far less gun control than Canada, the murder rate is 3.5 per
100,000, still lower than Manitoba, Saskatchewan, the Northwest Territories,
and Nunavut. And let me emphasize that Minnesota, Montana, and North
Dakota, like Idaho, are all shall-issue concealed-weapon permit states: nearly
any adult without a felony conviction or a domestic violence misdemeanor
conviction can obtain a concealed weapon permit with little or no effort.
At this point, you’re going to point
out that there are many American states that have very high murder rates,
especially in the South, and on the coasts. This is certainly true, but
irrelevant to the question of whether gun-control laws reduce murder rates. If
gun availability or a lack of restrictive gun-control laws was sufficient to
explain any substantial part of murder rates, then these low restriction states
should have higher murder rates than their Canadian neighbors, and yet if
anything, the situation is the reverse: the Canadian provinces often have
higher murder rate than their low gun-control American counterparts.”
Interesting.
So gun control is not correlated with murder rates, at least not very well.
I
add that the murder rate for Vermont (the state with the most liberal guns laws
in the Union) and New Hampshire (the “live free or die” state) is 1.3.
Unfortunately,
these crime stats pose more questions than they answer. Questions like: if gun
control doesn’t cause high murder rates, then what does? And why are the murder
rates of the prairie provinces so much higher than for central Canada, PEI, New
Brunswick and Newfoundland? And why are the murder rates for Canada’s northern
territories higher still? It also begs the question, why are the murder rates
for those northern plains states so much lower than for the southern and
coastal states? And why are the two highest murder rates that are recorded for
all states, provinces and territories found in Puerto Rico followed by Nunavut?
Do
I know the answer? Nope. Not me. No sirree, Bob. For me it’s aaall just a big
mystery. Haven’t got a clue. And don’t let anybody tell you any differently.